The execution equivalent of a financial reforecast.
A finance team does not leave a forecast untouched once revenue, cost or timing assumptions move. It updates the model and keeps the earlier version as the point of comparison. The organisation expected to deliver the plan deserves the same discipline.
An Execution Reforecast is the updated judgement after something material changes: the plan itself, the context around it, or the evidence coming out of the work. It uses the same method as the first forecast and preserves the first reading as the baseline.
The first assessment is an Execution Forecast. Once that baseline exists, later assessments can compare what changed and whether the response worked.
A Forecast asks whether the organisation can deliver a defined plan. A Reforecast asks whether that judgement still holds after an assumption, condition or signal has changed.
The first forecast creates the baseline.
The first engagement leaves a recorded view of the organisation against a defined plan. It shows what was judged, which evidence supported it, what was decided, and what happened next.
That record is the baseline. It makes the two readings comparable, so a reforecast can say what moved, in which direction, and whether the last intervention did what it was meant to do.
This is also why every forecast carries a review date. A judgement that is never checked against reality is just an opinion with a date stapled to it. Checking it is what turns the second engagement into a reforecast rather than another assessment.
Reforecast execution when an assumption no longer holds.
An organisation should reforecast execution when a material change makes the recorded baseline unreliable. The signal may be a changed strategy, new ownership, a different operating model, added pressure, a new dependency or evidence that contradicts an earlier assumption.
Not every update needs a reforecast. Use one when the change could alter a rating, recommendation, owner or review date. The review should follow the decision and the material change, not an annual people process.
What moved, and what to do about it.
The reforecast returns the same green, yellow, red or blind view, now compared with the baseline. Each change remains traceable to its evidence and uncertainty.
A dependency rated yellow in January may now be green because ownership was clarified, or red because the deadline moved forward.
Recommendations update with the plan. The client still makes the decision, and the new judgement becomes the baseline for the next review.
The same limits still apply.
A reforecast remains bounded by the plan, the arrangement and the decision horizon. It describes the conditions around people, never their worth, and makes no accuracy claim beyond the recorded evidence.